What would that result imply for Brexit?
The Brexit date – if the UK renders the EU – is now set for 31 January 2020. Prime Minister Boris Johnson, but it still wants to proceed through Parliament.
The default place – if no price is passed is that the UK would depart with no one.
Conservative bulk – bargain handed?
Having a large Conservative majority in the House of Commons, it ought to be relatively simple to maneuver Mr Johnson’s deal.
It is believed probable that the authorities will re-introduce the Withdrawal Agreement Bill – that the bit of law which places the framework for Brexit occurring – following week.
The aim is to find the invoice finished in time for Brexit to occur on 31 January.
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What happens following Brexit?
When the UK leaves the EU on 31 January, then that’s only step one in a really complex procedure.
The first priority is to negotiate a trade deal with the EU. The UK needs as much accessibility as possible for its services and goods into the EU.
However, the Conservatives have made evident the UK must depart the customs union and single market and finish the total authority of the European Court of Justice.
The EU may take weeks to agree a formal negotiating mandate – all of the remaining 27 member countries and the European parliament must be in agreement. That means formal discussions may just start in March.
These discussions will need to create a last agreement by the end of June. That’s the stage where the UK must determine whether to prolong the transition period (by a couple of years). However, Mr Johnson has ruled out any kind of expansion.
If no transaction deal was agreed by the end of June, then the UK faces the possibility of earning without one in the end of December 2020.
When an agreement was reached, in addition, it must be ratified prior to coming into force and that’s a procedure that could take a few months.
No transaction price of the size and sophistication has been agreed between the EU and also an outside state anywhere near as fast as the interval planned here.
Mr Johnson has contended that since the UK is entirely aligned to EU rules, the discussion ought to be straightforward. But critics have pointed out that the UK wants to get the liberty to diverge from EU rules therefore that it could do deals with other nations – which can make negotiations more difficult.
It is not merely a trade deal that must be sorted out. The UK must concur how it will co-operate together with the EU on security and law enforcement. The UK is set to depart the European Union Warrant strategy and might need to agree that a replacement. It must additionally agree deals in several of different regions where co-operation is necessary.
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